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Chargers at Texans spread, odds, picks and trends: Expert predictions for NFL Week 16 game

There’s no such thing as a good loss in the NFL. The Chargers lost 34-28 in overtime to the Chiefs, dropping to 8-6 and falling two games back in the AFC West. But that was also the first time in weeks that any team had been competitive against Kansas City. Los Angeles piled up 428 yards, including a season-high 192 on the ground, and held a 28-21 lead in the fourth quarter before Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce took over. It’d be easy to blame the defense here after giving up 496 yards. While that’s a concerning number, it’s no worse than going for it on fourth down five times or converting just 4-of-7 red-zone trips. For the better news, the Chargers don’t play another team currently above .500 for the rest of the year. They opened as 10.5-point favorites against Houston before Austin Ekeler and Joey Bosa were added to the Covid list.

Just imagine where the Texans would be if they could play the Jaguars every week. Houston beat Jacksonville 30-16 last week for its third win of the season. The Texans are 2-0 against the Jaguars, winning by an average of 15 points in those meetings while going 1-11 against all other teams. Davis Mills threw two touchdown passes to Brandin Cooks while the defense held Jacksonville to 3-of-14 on third down. Houston is now 6-7 against the spread, but don’t get too ambitious with your bets. The Texans host a Chargers team averaging 35.3 points per game over the past three weeks. Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline

All odds from BetMGM. Odds updated at 8:20 p.m. ET Saturday. Click here for live odds. Storylines for Chargers-Texans

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(Photo of Austin Ekeler: Harry How / Getty Images; The Athletic may receive an affiliate commission if you open an account with BetMGM through links contained in the above article.)

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