Lions vs. Falcons spread, odds, picks and trends: Expert predictions for NFL Week 16 game

Last week’s 31-13 loss to the 49ers is a game the Falcons will want back in early January. The loss never felt all that close, considering Atlanta managed 275 yards and just 13 first downs. But that’s not why it lost. That would be because of missed opportunity. The Falcons were 1-of-5 in the red zone, and it wasn’t like they were chipping away at the lead with field goals either. Atlanta ventured inside the Niners’ 10 on five drives and came away with 10 total points on those possessions. And this is a team that’s been good on the road all year. Now, the Falcons head home, where they are 1-5. They still opened as 4.5 point favorites against the Lions. But Atlanta is just 1-5 against the spread this season when the line is greater than four points in either direction.

We’ve gone on about how Detroit has outperformed its record for much of this season. But throttling the Cardinals at home is a bit more than even we could anticipate. Jared Goff threw three touchdown passes, and third-string RB Craig Reynolds ran for 112 yards as the Lions picked up their second win with a 30-12 beatdown of Arizona. Detroit kept Arizona out of the end zone for over 55 minutes and held the Cardinals without a successful red-zone trip. Last Sunday’s game certainly has a case for being the upset of the season. That, and a 5-1 record against the spread over the past six weeks, is more than enough of a reason to bet the Lions as underdogs here. Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline

All odds from BetMGM. Odds updated at 8:20 p.m. ET Saturday. Click here for live odds. Storylines for Lions-Falcons

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(Photo of Kyle Pitts: David J. Griffin / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images; The Athletic may receive an affiliate commission if you open an account with BetMGM through links contained in the above article.)

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