While underdogs ruled Week 1 around the NFL with nine winning outright and 12 covering the spread, bettors at Caesars Sportsbook for Week 2 are absolutely obliterating the favorites – with one major exception. Favorites taking the heaviest money action include the Patriots over the Jets, the Broncos over the Jaguars, and the Bills over the Dolphins. That one notable underdog exception is the Bengals getting hugely backed in Chicago. The only game where bettors are split on the spread is Rams-Colts.
With Denver quarterback Teddy Bridgewater 22-3 against the spread in road games in his career, the best mark in league history, and Jacksonville on a 16-game losing streak, perhaps it’s not a huge shock that 96 percent of all money is on the Broncos at -6 Sunday in northeast Florida – that spread could get to -7 by kickoff. Bridgewater has only been a road favorite five times in that 25-game span but is 4-1 ATS.
In the first matchup this season of rookie quarterbacks, featuring the Patriots’ Mac Jones and Jets’ Zach Wilson, 96 percent of all money is on New England giving 6 points on the road. That spread has risen from an open of -3.5 (largest ATS spread move on the board thus far) but probably will not get to 7. Jones is the first rookie quarterback favored in both Week 1 and 2 in the Super Bowl era. Chicago has the worst ATS record in the NFL since the start of 2019 at 12-21 under embattled coach Matt Nagy. The Bears are -2 for their home opener vs. Cincinnati, but the Bengals are taking a whopping 97 percent of the money on the spread. The only other underdog taking a majority lean on the money is Dallas +3.5 at the Los Angeles Chargers but that lean is only 53 percent. That may have dropped since the news that top Cowboys pass-rusher DeMarcus Lawrence will miss the game (and longer).
It’s incredibly unusual for so many NFL games to be double-lopsided on the spread in terms of money wagered and tickets sold. The only one with a split is Rams at Colts. Los Angeles is -3.5 and taking 90 percent of all tickets, but Indianapolis is getting a 62 percent lean on the money.
As far as totals, Unders were 9-7 in Week 1 despite 90 total touchdowns being scored, tied for the most ever in an opening weekend. The biggest Over leans in Week 2 are Cowboys-Chargers with a total of 55.5 (highest of any game) and a 94 percent money lean on the Over; and Titans-Seahawks with a 93 percent lean Over 54 points.
The lone game taking a double Under lean is Patriots-Jets at 43 points. A total of 88 percent of money and 68 percent of tickets are on the Under. There are several games where the total is split on tickets/money, perhaps most interestingly Chiefs-Ravens with 90 percent of tickets on the Over 54.5 points but 83 percent of money on the […]