Nevada junior Carson Strong threw 36 touchdowns and 4,186 yards this year, top 10 in the country in both stats. He also declared for the 2022 NFL Draft and won’t play in this bowl game. The rest of the Nevada roster had 24 pass attempts in 2021. Senior Nate Cox got garbage time in three lopsided Nevada wins. What will the Wolf Pack offense look like without Strong?
Strong’s absence is a big reason why Western Michigan is a favorite in this game. The Broncos will try to make this game a shootout and hope Nevada can’t keep up without Strong. WMU averaged 463.8 yards per game, 14th most in the country. Kaleb Eleby passed for more than 3,000 yards, and Sean Tyler rushed for more than 1,000 yards, giving the Broncos a balanced offense as well. On its resume, Western Michigan also has a win against Pitt, a 44-41 result in Week 3, but only finished 4-4 in the MAC.
This game has an 11 a.m. ET kickoff on Monday, Dec. 27 on ESPN. Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline
Odds updated at 12 p.m. ET on Dec. 25. Click here for live odds. Betting Trends
Most bet props Nevada to win by 1-6 points (+550)
Western Michigan to win and both teams to score 20+ points (+125)
Western Michigan to win by 11+ points and 56+ total points scored (+320)
Nevada is 10-1 ATS as underdogs in its last 11 games
The Over is 8-3 in the last 11 Nevada games
Nevada is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 Western Michigan games
Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS as favorites in their last 5 games Click here to learn more about The Athletic’s FREE betting contest with BetPrep. Expert picks (straight up) (Photo of Toa Taua: Tyler Ingham / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images; The Athletic may receive an affiliate commission if you open an account with BetMGM through links contained in the above article.)